Tuesday 12 June 2012

TD银行预测大多,大温房市下跌15%。 GF: 低估。


昨天的"新闻"了,本不想贴(又是一个银行"保守"预测),但还是放上来了。
TD 再次预测房市下跌 - 两年15%的跌幅。
大傻认为过于乐观。 (当然,TD 旗下还有庞大的房贷部门要经营,怎可自摔饭碗呢 ;) )

大傻预测,大温房市在今年6月底至明年6月底,将至少下跌10-15% (看均价/中位价/HPI 指标价/Teranet 指标价), 而在2014年初 将比现在下跌至少20-25%%。

但不论如何,the word is out.  现在连开计程车的司机都知道大温房市已进入下跌通道了。
而在房市中,投资者信心/消费者心理变动最为重要。

现在, 信心正在快速腐蚀中。


Toronto, Vancouver housing market could see 15% correction in next few years: TD
 Jun 11, 2012
Toronto and Vancouver are in for a 15% housing price correction in the next two to three years warned economists at Toronto-Dominion Bank on Monday.

TD economists Derek Burleton and Leslie Preston pointed to sluggish economic growth and a less accommodating interest rate environment as two big drivers behind the coming correction.
Vancouver’s housing market has already seen cooling as sales and prices have dropped recently, while Toronto’s housing market shows no signs of cooling down. 

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