Thursday 8 March 2012



"若中国经济软着陆, 则澳洲房市预测在2012年下跌至少5%
若中度着陆 则澳洲房市预测在2012年下跌至少10%
若硬着陆, 则澳洲房市预测在2012年下跌至少20%"

China drop to hit house prices hard
March 9, 2012

THE predicted slowdown in China's economic boom could cause Australian house prices to plunge by more than 5 per cent this year, according to one of the world's most influential credit rating agencies.

Standard & Poor's warned that efforts by the Chinese government to deliberately slow its economy over the next 12 months will have a major impact on Australia's exports throughout Asia.

Earlier this week, the Chinese government cut its gross domestic product growth target to below 8 per cent for this year. It is the first reduction in that estimate in eight years - a recognition that the country's rate of growth is not sustainable.

''Australian house prices could decline by more than 5 per cent in 2012 if China's economy experiences a soft landing with GDP growth at about 8 per cent,'' it stated.

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