As housing market slows, industry scrambles to paint positive picture
Garry Marr | Oct 3, 2012 6:42 PM
Organized real estate is unable, it seems, to admit the glory days may be behind it.
Sales plummet in major markets and the industry comes up with a new explanation for the decline, draping its comments with a sense that everything is just fine. The excuses are piling up.
在各大地产区域，成交量已开始大幅缩减。 地产业界开始寻找借口来掩饰这个现实， 继续对大众宣传一切还是美好的。
Ignore what they are saying. Sales are plummeting in Toronto and Vancouver
The normal course in any cycle is for sales to correct first and then for prices to follow, he adds. “There is a time lag, that’s what happened in the United States. There’s a time lag as sellers hold on, refusing to drop their asking price, eventually they acknowledge the market has shifted under them.”
根据大温这几年来的数据而言，从房市步入买方市场 (房源滞销量大于7个月) 至 地产局指标价/中位价等等明显下调，之间的时滞约为小于2个月。
9月底大温滞销量从10.7个月恶化至12.1个月， 若要做短期预测，年底前房价 (地产局指标价，中位价等等)会继续下滑。