Saturday, 30 June 2012
温东不再是避风港。 Vancouver East no longer safe haven.
连今年前几个月表现最好的 温东 Vancouver East， 现在也难逃跌势
温东 独立屋 6月成交量历史
2001 = 269
2002 = 203
2003 = 282
2004 = 243
2005 = 303
2006 = 396
2007 = 244
2008 = 139
2009 = 238
2010 = 145
2011 = 180
2012 = 107 ***6月29日
史上最低
比去年减少约40%
比08年减少过20%
温东独立屋房源从上个月的605增至现在的694
滞销从4个月房源增至6.5个月(买方市场)
Friday, 29 June 2012
热钱躲起来了? Where did the HAM go?
大温地区
2012 上半年 成交量约 15071
比起2011年上半，成交量减少 20%
比起2008年上半，成交量减少 7%
**************************************************
6月 列治文独立屋成交历史
2000 = 128
2001 = 160
2002 = 139
2003 = 166
2004 = 147
2005 = 248
2006 = 170
2007 = 198
2008 = 115
2009 = 204
2010 = 139
2011 = 158
2012 = 73 **6月28日
2012 上半年 成交量约 15071
比起2011年上半，成交量减少 20%
比起2008年上半，成交量减少 7%
**************************************************
6月 列治文独立屋成交历史
2000 = 128
2001 = 160
2002 = 139
2003 = 166
2004 = 147
2005 = 248
2006 = 170
2007 = 198
2008 = 115
2009 = 204
2010 = 139
2011 = 158
2012 = 73 **6月28日
史上最低，比08年还低三分之一
**************************************************
6月 温哥华西区独立屋成交历史
2000 = 125
2001 = 189
2002 = 150
2003 = 180
2004 = 154
2005 = 185
2006 = 181
2007 = 177
2008 = 108
2009 = 200
2010 = 147
2011 = 213
2012 = 99 **6月28日
2001 = 189
2002 = 150
2003 = 180
2004 = 154
2005 = 185
2006 = 181
2007 = 177
2008 = 108
2009 = 200
2010 = 147
2011 = 213
2012 = 99 **6月28日
史上最低，比08年还低
* H.A.M. = "Hot Asian Money"
* H.A.M. = "Hot Asian Money"
6月底 (2012) 大温地区 住宅单位
6月底 (2012) 大温地区 住宅单位
2012 vs 2011
成交量: 2423 vs 3262 (比去年同期大跌26%)
新上市: 5543 vs 5793 (比去年同期下降4%)
比例: 43.7% vs 56.3% (差13%)
6月底
总成交量达到10多年来6月最低。(与08年不相上下)
总房源为10多年来6月最高: 约18850 (比去年上升25%)
= 需要7.8个月来消化 (以本月成交量计算) (去年为4.6个月)
= 继续深入买方市场 (>6个月房源)
__________________________________
历年来6月大温地区官方销售记录:
年份: 成交量 /新上市量 / 比例
2002 2689 3850 69.8%
2003 3525 4301 82.0%
2004 3501 5594 62.6%
2005 4333 4742 91.4%
2006 3951 5460 72.4%
2007 4244 5533 76.7%
2008 2425 6546 37.0%
2009 4259 5372 79.3%
2010 2972 5544 53.6%
2011 3262 5793 56.3%
2012 2423 5543 43.7% (预测)
换句话说,历年的6月, 通常可以见到每新上市10个房,就有6-7个售出
而今年6月,每新上市10个房只有4个售出
2012 vs 2011
成交量: 2423 vs 3262 (比去年同期大跌26%)
新上市: 5543 vs 5793 (比去年同期下降4%)
比例: 43.7% vs 56.3% (差13%)
6月底
总成交量达到10多年来6月最低。(与08年不相上下)
总房源为10多年来6月最高: 约18850 (比去年上升25%)
= 需要7.8个月来消化 (以本月成交量计算) (去年为4.6个月)
= 继续深入买方市场 (>6个月房源)
__________________________________
历年来6月大温地区官方销售记录:
年份: 成交量 /新上市量 / 比例
2002 2689 3850 69.8%
2003 3525 4301 82.0%
2004 3501 5594 62.6%
2005 4333 4742 91.4%
2006 3951 5460 72.4%
2007 4244 5533 76.7%
2008 2425 6546 37.0%
2009 4259 5372 79.3%
2010 2972 5544 53.6%
2011 3262 5793 56.3%
2012 2423 5543 43.7% (预测)
换句话说,历年的6月, 通常可以见到每新上市10个房,就有6-7个售出
而今年6月,每新上市10个房只有4个售出
财长Flaherty: 打房政策将造成房价下跌- 这是好事！
Cooling of housing market would be a good thing, Flaherty says
Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said the government is willing to accept the possibility of slower economic growth in exchange for cooling off the country’s housing market.
Flaherty, speaking on a conference call with reporters today, said he realizes the tougher mortgage rules he announced last week may have a “dampening effect” on the economy and the residential real eatate market.
“We’re prepared to take that risk, quite frankly, because of the greater risk of the development over time of a housing bubble,” he said, adding he’s “very concerned with the condo market in Canada’s largest cities.”
http://www.thestar.com/business/article/1219238--cooling-of-housing-market-would-be-a-good-thing-flaherty-says
Published 45 minutes ago
Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said the government is willing to accept the possibility of slower economic growth in exchange for cooling off the country’s housing market.
Flaherty, speaking on a conference call with reporters today, said he realizes the tougher mortgage rules he announced last week may have a “dampening effect” on the economy and the residential real eatate market.
“We’re prepared to take that risk, quite frankly, because of the greater risk of the development over time of a housing bubble,” he said, adding he’s “very concerned with the condo market in Canada’s largest cities.”
http://www.thestar.com/business/article/1219238--cooling-of-housing-market-would-be-a-good-thing-flaherty-says
Thursday, 28 June 2012
Richmond 地产经纪在房贷新政公开前便发表的负面报告
以下为Richmond 地产经纪James Wong 在6月16日 (在财长Flaherty 发表房贷新政之前几天) 发表的五月份列治文地产报告。
The total active listings for the 3 types of homes in Richmond now surpassed the highest listings registered in September, 2008.
总房源已大于史上最高点 - 2008年9月
The supply of homes in Richmond at the end of May at 9.08 months edged higher compared to the previous month’s figure at 8.07 months of inventory.
The total active listings for the 3 types of homes in Richmond now surpassed the highest listings registered in September, 2008.
总房源已大于史上最高点 - 2008年9月
The supply of homes in Richmond at the end of May at 9.08 months edged higher compared to the previous month’s figure at 8.07 months of inventory.
五月份已达9个月滞销，高过四月份8个月的滞销。 (大于6个月即为买方市场)
Daily price reductions are common as sellers adjust their selling prices to try to sell their homes.
每日可见到许多屋主降价，以求买方青睐。
Similarly, detached homes are having a tougher time to attract home buyers especially for detached homes that are over $900,000.
大于$90万的独立屋很难找到买主。
Homes over $1,300,000 and new homes that are over $1.80 million are not selling well. With current level of supply, price erosion is evident when more sellers are reducing their prices, and transaction prices are trending down.
大于$1.3M 的独立屋 及大于$1.8M 的新房卖得不好。 以现在的滞销情况看来，房价已明显下跌。 愈来愈多的屋主开始减价求售。
There are 566 homes over $1,200,000 listed for sale in Richmond. With past 3 months average sale of 32 units, there are now 17.7 months supply of homes.
目前列治文有556间大于 $1.2M 的房求售，但是这三个月来这类房每月只卖出32户。 造成现在有17.7个月 (一年半)的该类滞销房源。
Some seller’s who must sell will have to resort to much deeper price cut to sell their homes.
无论如何必须要卖的屋主，一定要大幅砍价才能尽快售出。
http://richmondbcrealestates.com/?p=823
。。。这篇报告，是在房贷紧缩新政之前发表的。
。。。而且，在6月底Richmond 将见近14个月的房源 (远大于五月份的9个月房源)
Daily price reductions are common as sellers adjust their selling prices to try to sell their homes.
每日可见到许多屋主降价，以求买方青睐。
Similarly, detached homes are having a tougher time to attract home buyers especially for detached homes that are over $900,000.
大于$90万的独立屋很难找到买主。
Homes over $1,300,000 and new homes that are over $1.80 million are not selling well. With current level of supply, price erosion is evident when more sellers are reducing their prices, and transaction prices are trending down.
大于$1.3M 的独立屋 及大于$1.8M 的新房卖得不好。 以现在的滞销情况看来，房价已明显下跌。 愈来愈多的屋主开始减价求售。
There are 566 homes over $1,200,000 listed for sale in Richmond. With past 3 months average sale of 32 units, there are now 17.7 months supply of homes.
目前列治文有556间大于 $1.2M 的房求售，但是这三个月来这类房每月只卖出32户。 造成现在有17.7个月 (一年半)的该类滞销房源。
Some seller’s who must sell will have to resort to much deeper price cut to sell their homes.
无论如何必须要卖的屋主，一定要大幅砍价才能尽快售出。
http://richmondbcrealestates.com/?p=823
。。。这篇报告，是在房贷紧缩新政之前发表的。
。。。而且，在6月底Richmond 将见近14个月的房源 (远大于五月份的9个月房源)
Wednesday, 27 June 2012
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)