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GF 再次感谢您的捐款!

GF 满载着正能量，继续下去这份hobby - which takes as much time as a part-time job, haha : )

钓不到鱼。。。

列治文 Address:4320 RIVER RD, Riverdale, Richmond

March 09	V868660	$1,798,000	$0	0%
April 02	V868660	removed
April 09	V941651	$1,898,000	$0	0%
April 17	V941651	$1,688,000	$-210,000	-11%
April 27	V941651	$1,638,000	$-260,000	-14%
May 18	V941651	$1,500,000	$-398,000	-21%
June 07	V941651	removed
June 09	V955563	$1,425,000	$-473,000	-25%
June 22	V955563	$1,375,000	$-523,000	-28%

(待建空地)
政府估价: $1,695,600

温西 Address:3856 W 8TH AV, Point Grey, Vancouver West

May 12

V949710

$2,188,000

$0

0%

Open House: May 19, 20

May 25

V949710

$1,998,000

$-190,000

-9%

Open House: May 26

June 14

V949710

$1,898,000

$-290,000

-13%

Open House: Jun 16

June 19	V949710	removed
June 23	V958230	$1,680,000	$-508,000	-23%

Open House: Jun 23, 24
政府估价: $2,087,300

温西 Address:4463 W 9TH AV, Point Grey, Vancouver West

March 09	V929736	$1,425,000	$0	0%
April 03	V929736	$1,388,000	$-37,000	-3%
April 24	V929736	$1,299,000	$-126,000	-9%
June 19	V929736	$1,098,000	$-327,000	-23%

政府估价: $1,266,000

西温 Address:1083 DUCHESS AV, Ambleside, West Vancouver

March 09	V922019	$3,299,000	$0	0%
March 10	V922019	$3,159,000	$-140,000	-4%
April 08	V922019	removed
May 09	V942397	$2,998,000	$-301,000	-9%

Open House: May 19, 26
Open House: Jun 02, 03, 10, 16, 23

June 21

V942397

$2,598,000

$-701,000

-21%

政府估价: $2,850,000

温西 Address:1909 TRAFALGAR ST, Kitsilano, Vancouver West

March 09	V931179	$1,880,000	$0	0%
March 13	V931179	$1,790,000	$-90,000	-5%
March 26	V931179	removed
April 18	V940272	$1,688,000	$-192,000	-10%
May 18	V940272	$1,628,900	$-251,100	-13%

Open House: May 19, 26
Open House: Jun 02

June 13

V940272

$1,574,500

$-305,500

-16%

Open House: Jun 21, 24

June 23

V940272

$1,499,000

$-381,000

-20%

政府估价: $1,208,800


白石 Address:14373 MARINE DR, White Rock, White Rock

March 09	F1128502	$3,988,700	$0	0%
March 17	F1128502	$3,278,000	$-710,700	-18%
May 29	F1128502	removed
June 23	F1216442	$3,188,700	$-800,000	-20%

本拿比 Address:6186 PORTLAND ST, South Slope, Burnaby

March 30	V940192	$1,499,000	$0	0%
April 25	V940192	$1,388,888	$-110,112	-7%
May 23	V940192	$1,249,000	$-250,000	-17%
June 20	V940192	$1,198,888	$-300,112	-20%

政府估价: $1,309,100 (Property has more than one structure)


http://vancouverpricedrop.wordpress.com/2012/06/25/the-weekly-drop-june-25-2012/

Moody's: "加国为了避免房市在未来硬着陆的房贷新政，可能已经太迟了"

加国人民负债量早已超过安全额度。 加国政府上周为了让房市"软着陆/慢漏气"而推出的新政，可能已经来不及避开房市"硬着陆"。

Mortgage changes ‘may be too late’: Moody’s

Barbara Shecter  Jun 25, 2012 – 4:07 PM ET 

Last week’s mortgage changes unveiled by regulators and the federal government are positive for Canada’s banks, but “may be too late to avoid a housing correction,” according to analysts at Moody’s Investors Service.

In a weekly credit outlook report published Monday, Moody’s analysts William Burn and Andriy Stepanyants said shorter loan amortization periods should immediately cool home sales by requiring increased monthly payments.

“However,” the analysts note, ” the government’s moves may have come too late, owing to the build-up in consumer debt that has already occurred.” In addition, slowing growth in household disposable income will be a challenge for consumers trying to pay down their debts, they said.

http://business.financialpost.com/2012/06/25/mortgage-changes-may-be-too-late-moodys/

温哥华市公寓猛盖， 16栋兴建中，67栋已策划

这数据只包括温哥华市 (i.e. 不包括列治文，本拿比等)。
GF: 2011年下半买公寓的，大部分都亏了。而手上还有楼花的，现在应该要着急了。

Vancouver sprouting cranes with 16 condo towers in progress and 67 others in the works

Cheryl Chan, The Province

Published: Sunday, June 24, 2012

Amid newly-tightened mortgage rules and concerns of an over-supply in the Toronto condo market that prompted financial authorities including Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney to sound an alarm this week, we think we've earned the right to ask: Is Vancouver oversaturated with condos?

Here's some sobering figures.

Housing starts in Vancouver are up in the first five months of 2012 compared to the same period last year, driven largely by multiple-unit dwelling construction – which is up by about 50 per cent from last year.

According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, 5,503 condo units are under construction in Vancouver in April, adding to the existing 230,000 units already in the city.

http://www2.canada.com/health/vancouver+sprouting+cranes+with+condo+towers+progress+others+works/6828388/story.html?id=6828388

6月1-22日 大温销售数据 (完整版)

2012 vs 2011 成交量: 1771 vs 2326 (下降24%) 新上市: 4005 vs 4133 (下降3%) 比例: 44% vs 56% (差12%) 预测6月底 总成交: 2400-2500 (比去年下跌~24%) *可能低于2008，史上最低 总新上市: 5800-6000 (比去年持平/微升) *只低于2008 总房源: 19000 = 需要7.7个月来消化 (以本月成交量计算) = 继续深入买方市场 (>6个月房源) 6月底预测: 1. 独立屋 成交量 - Richmond 列治文: 成交量较去年下跌48% - Van West 温西: 成交量较去年下跌50% - West Van 西温: 成交量较去年下跌66% - Burnaby 本拿比: 成交量较去年下跌31% - North Van 北温: 成交量较去年下跌40% 2. 非独立屋 成交量 - Richmond 列治文: 成交量较去年下跌26% - Van West 温西: 成交量较去年下跌17% - Van East 温东: 成交量较去年上升21% - 是大温唯一表现较好的区 3. 大温独立屋均价: 比5月微跌1%, 比去年跌10% 4. 独立屋 房源上涨速度最快的 (比5月) 第一: 温东 Van East 独立屋: +8% 第二: 西温 West Van 独立屋: +7% 第三: 本拿比 Burnaby 独立屋: +6% 第四: 北温 North Van 独立屋: +6% 4. 滞销 (以月计) Richmond 独立屋 – 14 West Van 独立屋 – 12 Van West 独立屋 – 10 Burnaby 独立屋 - 8 Van East 独立屋 - 6 North Van 独立屋 - 6 (大于6个月就是所谓"买方市场") (4-6个月为"平衡市场") (小于4个月为"卖方市场") Richmond 非独立屋 - 9.5 Van West 非独立屋 - 7 Van East 非独立屋 - 4.5 展望: 大温房市6月表现继续衰退。房价继续面临往下的压力。 而加国财长在7月9日将实施新一轮打房政策， 大温房市即使没有打房新政，也不断走下坡 7-8月份大温跌幅将加剧。 6月底-7月中极可能是卖方最后的脱手兑现机会，以减少损失。 而现在至8月，是买方最不应该入市买房的时候。 若不急， 买方应至少等到年底(或明后年) ，看清趋势再考虑是否买房。

GF 帖子荣登 地产中心头条

GF 撰写的 "如何面对7月9日政府房贷新政?" 荣登北美中文网地产中心头条 (已在首页一整天), GF 在此感谢 Westca.com 主编提拔  

quote 个最后一段:

写道:

若你是卖方:在7月9日前应尽量快快成交。因为之后,大量买方能借到的贷款会明显减少。所谓的"刚需" 还是受限于能拿到的贷款量。 若你是买方: 不要在现在至8月买房 - 其实最好今年不要买房。 新政实施后,有能力与你竞争的买家将明显减少, 房价将加速下滑。 最后,我预测,大温房市将在2012下半加速下滑 (大温房市本来就已处于下跌管道,现在将更加严重)。 公寓/城市屋/独立屋将全受到打击,而最先受打击的是首次买房者购买的房型。

看看comments 评论区,蛮有意思的。
www.westca.com/House/a...inese.html

鱼难钓

Richmond:

Address:6140 MARA CR, Granville, Richmond

March 09	V931950	$1,938,000	$0	0%
March 20	V931950	removed
March 22	V938480	$1,879,000	$-59,000	-3%
April 03	V938480	removed
April 25	V945428	$1,897,000	$-41,000	-2%
May 23	V945428	$1,879,000	$-59,000	-3%
June 04	V945428	removed
June 07	V954888	$1,719,000	$-219,000	-11%
June 14	V954888	removed
June 21	V957754	$1,299,000	$-639,000	-33%
Open House: Jun 23, 24

Assessment: $1,168,000 (Building Unfinished at time of assessment)

Address:# 301 8700 JONES RD, Brighouse South, Richmond

May 09	V948547	$539,000	$0	0%
June 06	V948547	$499,000	$-40,000	-7%
June 13	V948547	$468,000	$-71,000	-13%
June 20	V948547	$399,000	$-140,000	-26%

Assessment: $467,000

http://vancouverpricedrop.wordpress.com/2012/06/21/richmond-spotlight-june-21-2012/

Burnaby

Address:6836 HERSHAM AV, Highgate, Burnaby

March 09	V925240	$1,199,000	$0	0%
March 24	V925240	$1,148,000	$-51,000	-4%
May 15	V925240	removed
May 19	V951269	$999,900	$-199,100	-17%
Open House: May 26

Assessment: $782,000 (Building Unfinished)

Address:7545 WHELEN CT, Deer Lake, Burnaby

March 09	V932130	$1,877,000	$0	0%
May 16	V932130	$1,777,000	$-100,000	-5%
June 06	V932130	removed
June 11	V955744	$1,499,000	$-378,000	-20%

Assessment: $1,611,000

Address:6186 PORTLAND ST, South Slope, Burnaby

March 30	V940192	$1,499,000	$0	0%
April 25	V940192	$1,388,888	$-110,112	-7%
May 23	V940192	$1,249,000	$-250,000	-17%
June 20	V940192	$1,198,888	$-300,112	-20%

Assessment: $1,309,100 (Property has more than one structure)

Address:6929 WILLINGDON AV, Metrotown, Burnaby

March 09	V928594	$998,800	$0	0%
March 19	V928594	$928,000	$-70,800	-7%
April 09	V928594	$898,000	$-100,800	-10%
May 07	V928594	removed
May 10	V949092	$849,900	$-148,900	-15%
Open House: May 19
May 31	V949092	$799,000	$-199,800	-20%

Assessment: $871,900

Address:8443 13TH AV, East Burnaby, Burnaby

March 09	V933528	$1,888,000	$0	0%
April 11	V933528	$1,500,000	$-388,000	-21%
May 08	V933528	removed
May 11	V949298	$1,399,000	$-489,000	-26%

Assessment: $1,020,000

http://vancouverpricedrop.wordpress.com/2012/06/21/burnaby-spotlight-june-21-2012/