5月4日大温地区销售记录
新上市: 337
成交量: 77
_________________________
5月1-4日 销售记录 (2012 vs 2011)
新上市: 1401 vs 1294 (+8%)
成交量: 527 vs 683 (-23%)
Saturday, 5 May 2012
Thursday, 3 May 2012
澳洲经济泡沫为近代史上最大， 即将"硬着陆"
加拿大经济与澳洲极其相似。两者皆为原料/能源输出国，已过度依赖过去几年中国的信贷泡沫。
加拿大的经济可能将步上澳洲的后尘?
May 3, 2012 – 10:37 AM
As far as bubbles go, they don’t get more obvious than Australia, according to one economist and noted bear.
Albert Edwards, economist with Société Générale, put out a note on Thursday morning whose title says it all: “The biggest bubble in recent history is heading for the mother of all hard landings.”
Mr. Edwards cites Australia’s extreme reliance on the Chinese economy as the foundation for the current bubble. After all, Australia, a global heavyweight in mining, is dependent on the global commodity boom that China has largely helped fuel over the last decade.
“All we have in Australia, at its simplest, is a credit bubble built upon a commodity boom dependent for its sustenance on an even greater credit bubble in China,” he said.
4月表现最差的区域 (独立屋)
1。4月 Van West 独立屋
成交量 = 130
较去年 = 214 大跌 39%
较上月 = 152 下跌 14%
新上市 = 395
较去年 = 358 上升 10%
较上月 = 336 上升 18%
2。4月 West Van 独立屋
成交量 = 83
较去年 = 141 大跌 41%
较上月 = 78 上升 6%
新上市 = 184
较去年 = 200 下跌 8%
较上月 = 158 上升 16%
3。4月 Burnaby 独立屋
成交量 = 94
较去年 = 150 大跌 37%
较上月 = 95 下跌 1%
新上市 = 246
较去年 = 193 上升 27%
较上月 = 210 上升 17%
4。4月 Coquitlam 独立屋
成交量 = 119
较去年 = 154 下跌 23%
较上月 = 143 下跌 17%
新上市 = 210
较去年 = 214 下跌 2%
较上月 = 225 下跌 7%
5。4月 Van East 独立屋
成交量 = 135
较去年 = 171 下跌 21%
较上月 = 155 下跌 13%
新上市 = 270
较去年 = 271 下跌 0%
较上月 = 291 下跌 7%
6。4月 Richmond 独立屋
成交量 = 114
较去年 = 143 下跌 20%
较上月 = 104 上升 10%
新上市 = 350
较去年 = 408 下跌 14%
较上月 = 326 上升 7%
Wednesday, 2 May 2012
Tuesday, 1 May 2012
4月底大温地区销售数据
2012 vs 2011 四月
成交 2806 vs 3225 (下降13%)
新上市 5953 vs 5847 (增加2%)
比例 47% vs 55% (差8%)
今年4月总成交量为: 2806
环比 2012-3月: 2874
= 下跌 2%
同比 2011-4月: 3225
= 下跌 13%
成交量为十年来4月份最低。 同时也比3月份低。 若5月持续低迷(传统春季旺季高峰为4-5月), 则大温房市将确定加速步入下跌通道
年份 成交 新上市 比例
| 2001 | 2253 | 3556 | 63.4% |
| 2002 | 3785 | 5215 | 72.6% |
| 2003 | 3095 | 4139 | 74.8% |
| 2004 | 4106 | 5665 | 72.5% |
| 2005 | 4043 | 5731 | 70.5% |
| 2006 | 3345 | 4452 | 75.1% |
| 2007 | 3490 | 5724 | 61.0% |
| 2008 | 3218 | 7010 | 45.9% |
| 2009 | 2963 | 4649 | 63.7% |
| 2010 | 3512 | 7648 | 45.9% |
| 2011 | 3225 | 5847 | 55.2% |
| 2012 | 2806 | 5953 | 47.1% (预测) |
加拿大各大银行在08年金融危机受惠政府 (纳税人) $114B 补助
正如GF以前谈过，加拿大的银行并不如总理Harper 这几年来等对外宣称的如此"安全，谨慎，无须政府补助"
(见 http://www.westca.com/Forums/viewtopic/p=3394516/lang=schinese.html#3394516)
有些银行 (CIBC, BMO, Scotia) 受到的纳税人资助甚至超过他们当时的总市值 Market Cap.
Quantifying The Big Five Canadian Banks' $114 Billion Bailoutt
The official story of the 2008 financial crisis goes like this: American and international banks got caught placing bad bets on U.S. mortgages and had to be bailed out. But not in Canada. Through the financial crisis, Canadian banks were touted by the federal government and the banks themselves as being much more stable than other countries’ big banks. Canadian banks, we were assured, needed no such bailout.
However, in contrast to the official story Canada’s banks received $114 billion in cash and loan support between September 2008 and August 2010. They were double-dipping in not only two but three separate support programs, one of them American. They continued receiving this support for a protracted period while at the same time reaping considerable profits and providing raises to their CEOs, who were already among Canada’s highest paid. In fact, several banks drew government support whose value exceeded the bank’s actual value. Canadian banks were in hot water during the crisis and the Canadian government has remained resolutely secretive about the details.
It should be noted that the “Extraordinary Financing Framework” was prepared to spend up to $200 billion to aid the banks and other industries. In other words, while the sums reported in this report are enormous, there were even more funds to be disbursed if the banks needed them.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/quantifying-big-five-canadian-banks-114-billion-bailout
http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/business/our-banks-got-billions-in-crisis-report-says-149618755.html
(见 http://www.westca.com/Forums/viewtopic/p=3394516/lang=schinese.html#3394516)
有些银行 (CIBC, BMO, Scotia) 受到的纳税人资助甚至超过他们当时的总市值 Market Cap.
Quantifying The Big Five Canadian Banks' $114 Billion Bailoutt
The official story of the 2008 financial crisis goes like this: American and international banks got caught placing bad bets on U.S. mortgages and had to be bailed out. But not in Canada. Through the financial crisis, Canadian banks were touted by the federal government and the banks themselves as being much more stable than other countries’ big banks. Canadian banks, we were assured, needed no such bailout.
However, in contrast to the official story Canada’s banks received $114 billion in cash and loan support between September 2008 and August 2010. They were double-dipping in not only two but three separate support programs, one of them American. They continued receiving this support for a protracted period while at the same time reaping considerable profits and providing raises to their CEOs, who were already among Canada’s highest paid. In fact, several banks drew government support whose value exceeded the bank’s actual value. Canadian banks were in hot water during the crisis and the Canadian government has remained resolutely secretive about the details.
It should be noted that the “Extraordinary Financing Framework” was prepared to spend up to $200 billion to aid the banks and other industries. In other words, while the sums reported in this report are enormous, there were even more funds to be disbursed if the banks needed them.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/quantifying-big-five-canadian-banks-114-billion-bailout
http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/business/our-banks-got-billions-in-crisis-report-says-149618755.html
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